Chapter 35
European integration
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Some key issues

  • The European Single Market
    • what difference did it make?
  • Economic and Monetary Union (EMU)
    • why did it happen?
    • What difference will it make?
  • Reform in Eastern Europe
    • how are these countries faring in their transition from central planning to market economies?

The Single Market

  • Established under the Single European Act of 1987
  • with December 1992 as the target date for completion
    • which was met

Objectives of the Single Market

  • Abolition of remaining foreign exchange controls on capital flows
  • removal of non-tariff barriers within the EU
  • elimination of bias in public sector provisioning
  • removal of frontier controls
    • with some provisos
  • progress towards harmonization of tax rates

Benefits of the Single Market

  • Improved resource allocation
    • removal of non-tariff barriers allows more exploitation of comparative advantage
  • Scale economies
    • larger potential market increases the scope for economies of scale
  • Intensified competition
    • may stimulate greater cost efficiency
  • Factor mobility
    • enables greater efficiency through mobility of labour and capital

From EMS to EMU

  • A monetary union has
    • permanently fixed exchange rates within the union
    • an integrated financial market
    • a single central bank setting the single interest rate for the union.
  • The Maastricht Treaty set criteria for EMU entry
    • to define ‘convergence’
  • The single currency area began in January 1999 with 11 member countries.

The Maastricht criteria

  • Inflation rate
    • no more than 1.5% above the average of the inflation rate of the lowest 3 countries in the EMS
  • Long-term interest rate
    • no more than 2% above the average of the lowest 3 EMS countries
  • Exchange rate
    • in the narrow band of ERM for 2 years
  • Budget deficit
    • no larger than 3% of GDP
  • National debt
    • no greater than 60% of GDP

The economics of EMU

  • Optimal currency area
    • a group of countries better off with a common currency than keeping separate national currencies
  • 3 key attributes (Mundell)
    • countries that trade a lot with each other
    • countries with similar economic and industrial structures
    • flexibility in labour markets

So is Europe an optimal currency area?

  • Europe is ‘quite’ but not very closely integrated
  • Some countries are more closely integrated than others
  • but the act of joining may itself feed the process of integration

Eastern Europe:
some key issues

  • On the eve of transition
    • low per capita income
    • high international debt
  • Supply-side reforms
    • crucial for prices to reflect true scarcity
  • Trade and foreign investment
    • markets needed for products
    • and physical capital/management skills
  • Macroeconomic conditions
    • firm and credible macro policy needed
    • especially to avoid excessive inflation.

 

Copyright Peter Smith 2000 - all rights reserved