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Some key issues
- The European Single Market
- what difference did it make?
- Economic and Monetary Union (EMU)
- why did it happen?
- What difference will it make?
- Reform in Eastern Europe
- how are these countries faring in their transition from central
planning to market economies?
The Single Market
- Established under the Single European Act of 1987
- with December 1992 as the target date for completion
Objectives of the Single Market
- Abolition of remaining foreign exchange controls on capital flows
- removal of non-tariff barriers within the EU
- elimination of bias in public sector provisioning
- removal of frontier controls
- progress towards harmonization of tax rates
Benefits of the Single Market
- Improved resource allocation
- removal of non-tariff barriers allows more exploitation of comparative
advantage
- Scale economies
- larger potential market increases the scope for economies of scale
- Intensified competition
- may stimulate greater cost efficiency
- Factor mobility
- enables greater efficiency through mobility of labour and capital
From EMS to EMU
- A monetary union has
- permanently fixed exchange rates within the union
- an integrated financial market
- a single central bank setting the single interest rate for the
union.
- The Maastricht Treaty set criteria for EMU entry
- The single currency area began in January 1999 with 11 member countries.
The Maastricht criteria
- Inflation rate
- no more than 1.5% above the average of the inflation rate of the
lowest 3 countries in the EMS
- Long-term interest rate
- no more than 2% above the average of the lowest 3 EMS countries
- Exchange rate
- in the narrow band of ERM for 2 years
- Budget deficit
- National debt
- no greater than 60% of GDP
The economics of EMU
- Optimal currency area
- a group of countries better off with a common currency than keeping
separate national currencies
- 3 key attributes (Mundell)
- countries that trade a lot with each other
- countries with similar economic and industrial structures
- flexibility in labour markets
So is Europe an optimal currency area?
- Europe is ‘quite’ but not very closely integrated
- Some countries are more closely integrated than others
- but the act of joining may itself feed the process of integration
Eastern Europe:
some key issues
- On the eve of transition
- low per capita income
- high international debt
- Supply-side reforms
- crucial for prices to reflect true scarcity
- Trade and foreign investment
- markets needed for products
- and physical capital/management skills
- Macroeconomic conditions
- firm and credible macro policy needed
- especially to avoid excessive inflation.
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